Bangladesh: Near and Medium-Term Indicators, FY2013–2020

Sources: Bangladesh authorities; and IMF staff estimates and projections.

FY13 FY14 FY 15 FY 16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
Real GDP 6 6.1 6.5 6.3 6.8 7 7 7
GDP deflator 7.2 5.7 5.8 6.8 7.4 7 6.7 6.7
CPI inflation (annual average) 6.8 7.3 6.4 6.5 7 6.7 6.4 6.1
CPI inflation (end of period) 8 6.9 5.9 7 7 6.4 6.4 5.8
Credit to private sector (end of period) 10.8 12.3 13.2 14.7 15.9 15.7 15.3 315.4
Gross national savings 30.5 29.2 29.1 27.7 29.2 31.1 31.6 31.8
Public national savings 2.9 2.7 2.1 1.6 2.1 2.8 3.3 3.5
Private national savings 27.6 26.5 27 26.1 27.1 28.4 28.4 28.3
Gross investment 28.4 28.6 29 29 30.6 32.8 33.5 33.8
Public investment 6.6 6.5 6.9 7.7 8.8 9.7 10.3 10.3
Private investment 21.7 22 22.1 21.2 21.8 23.1 23.2 23.5
Net exports of goods and services -7.2 -6.5 -8.6 -7.3 -7.3 -7.2 -7.2 -7.2
Exports of goods and services 19.5 19 17.2 16.6 16.8 16.8 16.9 17
Imports of goods and services 26.8 25.5 25.8 23.9 24 24.1 24.1 24.2
Current account balance 1.6 0.8 -0.8 -1.3 -1.4 -1.6 -1.8 -2
Central government operations
Total revenue and grants 11.2 10.9 9.9 10.5 11.6 12.2 12.6 12.9
Of which: Tax revenue 9 8.6 8.5 8.7 9.6 10.2 10.6 10.9
Total expenditure 14.6 14 13.8 14.9 15.8 16.3 16.7 16.9
Of which: Annual Development Prog 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.8 5.2 5.8 6.2 6.3
Overall balance (including grants) -3.4 -3.1 -3.9 -4.4 -4.3 -4.1 -4.1 -4
(excluding grants) -3.9 -3.5 -4.2 -4.7 -4.6 -4.5 -4.4 -4.3
Primary balance (excluding grants) -1.9 -1.5 -2.1 -2.6 -2.3 -2.2 -2.1 -2
Public sector total debt 2/ 36.3 35.9 35.9 37.2 37.1 37 36.9 36.7
Of which: central government debt 34.5 33.9 34 34.3 34.2 34 33.9 33.6
Public sector external debt 15.8 15.1 14.1 14.5 14.2 14.1 14.1 14
Memorandum item:
Nominal GDP (in billions of taka) 11,989 13,437 15,136 17,180 19,704 22,562 25,750 29,407